Resort Development Continues to Grow…But

The Resort Development industry continues to grow despite the perception that it is stuck in 2008 and that there is a sub-prime loan crisis ongoing and that all banks are insolvent and cant fund projects and that golf courses are overbuilt and that timeshare is dead.  Quite the contrary.  The Resort lifestyle industry, including golf course communities, timeshare and interval ownership companies as well as private camping networks and vacation clubs continue to see large sales volume increases.  According to A.R.D.A. (American Resort Development Association), timeshare sales topped $7.9 Billion in 2014, up for the fifth year in row and with forecasts of 6%+ sales growth for the foreseeable future.  Chris Bounds, of Austin, notes that moderately priced to high end, golf course communities are flourishing in every major market that has a positive population grown and RVing and RV resorts continue to try and keep up with baby boomer demand.   Marriott Vacation Club continues to add luxury properties to its stable of world wide resorts and will once again finance many of its sales internally.  The industry is growing.

Admittedly the markets have shifted and changed and consumers have more choices for their leisure dollars and are much more “educated” about such things than they once were (which is great) and the internet is a THING!  OK fine, these are all good changes.  A well dressed, non-chain smoking, educated sales team under seasoned leadership is what it may now take to  sell out all the lots around a golf course before it is complete or sell Points for interval exchanges at a higher average rate and volume than on-site sales, but that is that.  Resort companies that understand and embrace this concept are setting sales records.  Public companies own more and more such assets and old, mismanaged  country clubs with musty carpet and divot laced greens or timeshare communities with faded paint and mossy swimming pools are struggling the same fate carriage manufacturers did in 1920.  For them, without change, it won’t end well.

Many land and timeshare notes are once again being financed at face value and many are once again being securitized on Wall Street.   The US consumers HAVE CHANGED and the developers that change with them will fair just fine as we plan sales projects into 2020!

golf plattsold-out

 

Austin is Boom Town again!!

View of Downtown from new Dell - UT Hospital complex.

View of Downtown from new Dell – UT Hospital complex.

“Cranes on the horizon, U-haul trailers stacked up at gas stations, out of state plates all over the county and you can’t get a table a decent restaurant. Sounds like 1986, I mean 1999 or was it 2007.
Its 2015 and we are booming again.” says Chris Bounds, of Austin, in a recent trade publication. Locals have seen this before.  Investors know the furry and the drill.  The only difference this time is the cranes are taller, the deals are bigger and the traffic is worse. Lots of money flowing into Austin and Central Texas chasing tech/e-commerce and real estate projects and ventures.  No shortage of Californians walking around with thick wallets and a resume trying to put something together.

Hopefully this is not another artificial bubble.  Hopefully we are not over building…again.  Hopefully the banks will stay solvent and sub prime loans wont infect the system, again.  And we hope that all your assets are monitored, managed and under audit at all times.  We advise that all passive and direct investments be reviewed, totaled and audited monthly.   The exercise of preparing and the review of a monthly Net Worth statement will often reveal good and bad news trends in advance of otherwise untimely notifications.

Private, confidential review and a complete Asset Analysis are the backbone of navigating the investment minefield in Boom economies.  We might even be in a Hyper-Boom economy, which would dictate more oversight and analysis.   Someone once said, ” I don’t know of a famous, skinny chef and I have never met a rich economist”  Do your own homework and employ experts to help.  Valuations can turn quickly in both directions, so you don’t want to be the last $ in or the last getting out.   Hope really  IS not a strategy and luck IS not a discipline.

 

Chris Bounds, Austin, Texas